Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.967279 8.815247 9.739034 10.824159 12.068970 13.458307 15.134612
2025-12-21 6.655652 7.743292 9.007992 10.600843 12.572726 14.959350 18.106067
2025-12-28 6.418251 7.756436 9.392255 11.568920 14.435280 18.147930 23.434429
2026-01-04 5.960249 7.409874 9.249896 11.803946 15.334716 20.165038 27.497193
2026-01-11 5.406062 6.867488 8.776888 11.516087 15.451825 21.080286 30.090301
2026-01-18 5.147370 6.679427 8.739376 11.794306 16.360461 23.199255 34.785100
2026-01-25 4.774593 6.299313 8.396082 11.588753 16.515149 24.178453 37.792818
2026-02-01 4.468834 5.985251 8.113848 11.434747 16.713484 25.224915 41.055914
2026-02-08 4.190773 5.688322 7.829307 11.243547 16.819641 26.113868 44.164231
2026-02-15 3.930852 5.398944 7.532263 11.001765 16.808802 26.787099 46.963526
2026-02-22 3.742899 5.202411 7.358506 10.936081 17.077374 27.970785 50.961767
2026-03-01 3.498457 4.906497 7.012640 10.561135 16.772092 28.064677 52.718427
2026-03-08 3.239019 4.580654 6.610897 10.080833 16.266797 27.782001 53.757504
2026-03-15 3.063361 4.374353 6.385224 9.880222 16.247494 28.438292 57.049551
2026-03-22 3.131020 4.548240 6.774987 10.763719 18.323027 33.568556 72.136381
2026-03-29 3.057544 4.493075 6.785647 10.977970 19.143638 36.227870 81.862669
2026-04-05 2.900273 4.294242 6.544356 10.715552 18.989703 36.735113 85.942022
2026-04-12 2.847559 4.262508 6.582238 10.969185 19.908999 39.805339 98.211473
2026-04-19 2.722468 4.104697 6.394171 10.781811 19.886341 40.665968 104.123464
2026-04-26 2.613814 3.969104 6.236987 10.641370 19.948731 41.742369 111.071576
2026-05-03 2.506911 3.831536 6.068815 10.466944 19.918623 42.584425 117.530525
2026-05-10 2.399592 3.688621 5.883815 10.246265 19.763697 43.085313 122.988897
2026-05-17 2.323102 3.595223 5.782792 10.186292 19.967551 44.566633 132.589601